Liga Portuguesa Sub 19 II Serie B Round 15

Espinho U19 vs União Nogueirense U19 analysis

Espinho U19 União Nogueirense U19
28 ELO 38
-5% Tilt 0.8%
48209º General ELO ranking 9074º
1161º Country ELO ranking 226º
ELO win probability
21.1%
Espinho U19
19.9%
Draw
59.1%
União Nogueirense U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
Espinho U19
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59%
Win probability
União Nogueirense U19
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espinho U19
-17%
-88%
União Nogueirense U19

Points and table prediction

Espinho U19
Their league position
União Nogueirense U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
28
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feirense U19
41
41
100%
 Lusitania FC U19
38
38
100%
Leixões U19
34
34
100%
União Nogueirense U19
28
28
100%
Valadares Gaia U19
27
27
100%
Penafiel U19
24
24
100%
 Padroense FC U19
22
22
100%
Espinho U19
17
17
100%
 Sousense U19
16
16
100%
Lamego U19
10º
5
5
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Espinho U19
União Nogueirense U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Espinho U19
União Nogueirense U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espinho U19
Espinho U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
LEX
Leixões U19
5 - 1
Espinho U19
ESP
67%
18%
15%
28 38 10 0
03 Dec. 2022
ESP
Espinho U19
0 - 0
 Lusitania FC U19
LUS
19%
19%
62%
27 41 14 +1
26 Nov. 2022
VAL
Valadares Gaia U19
0 - 2
Espinho U19
ESP
75%
14%
10%
26 38 12 +1
12 Nov. 2022
ESP
Espinho U19
1 - 1
Penafiel U19
PEN
47%
21%
32%
26 26 0 0
05 Nov. 2022
PAD
 Padroense FC U19
3 - 1
Espinho U19
ESP
62%
19%
19%
27 31 4 -1

Matches

União Nogueirense U19
União Nogueirense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
NOG
União Nogueirense U19
1 - 0
Feirense U19
FEI
52%
22%
27%
38 35 3 0
03 Dec. 2022
LAM
Lamego U19
2 - 2
União Nogueirense U19
NOG
9%
15%
76%
38 18 20 0
26 Nov. 2022
NOG
União Nogueirense U19
4 - 1
 Sousense U19
SOU
67%
18%
16%
38 27 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
NOG
União Nogueirense U19
1 - 1
Leixões U19
LEX
43%
23%
34%
37 38 1 +1
05 Nov. 2022
LUS
 Lusitania FC U19
2 - 1
União Nogueirense U19
NOG
55%
20%
25%
38 40 2 -1