El Espinar-San Rafael vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+167%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ESR
2 - 0
ATC
77%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMM
3 - 4
ESR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESR
1 - 0
CAN
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
ESR
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ESR
6 - 1
COC
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
6 - 1
SMM
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 3
VIL
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
CAN
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
VIL
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
COC
0 - 2
VIL
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |