El Espinar-San Rafael vs IE University Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Espinar-San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
ESR
46%
21%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ESR
7 - 0
SPO
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GIM
4 - 4
ESR
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ESR
3 - 0
CAN
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ESR
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
IE University Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 4
VIL
22%
20%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UNI
9 - 0
COC
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 2
UNI
50%
22%
29%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 5
MOZ
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
3 - 2
UNI
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |