Esperanza vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
RSI
1 - 1
ESP
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
3 - 1
GAL
24%
25%
51%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 1
AGU
49%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UDL
5 - 1
ESP
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 0
COR
27%
27%
47%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
UCA
1 - 3
UDL
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COR
3 - 1
UCA
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
UCA
2 - 1
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VTZ
2 - 0
UCA
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UCA
0 - 0
VSB
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |