Esperanza Pelt vs Zwarte Leeuw analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KEW
3 - 2
ESP
22%
25%
53%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
BVA
79%
13%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 3
ESP
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BED
3 - 1
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
VVZ
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Zwarte Leeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZWA
1 - 1
DIE
59%
20%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ZWA
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ZWA
0 - 0
WIT
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ZWA
2 - 1
SIN
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NIL
2 - 1
ZWA
46%
22%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |