Esperanza Macarena vs San Jeronimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Macarena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
PIL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
ESP
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
ESC
82%
12%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIS
5 - 1
ESP
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESP
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Jeronimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
PAL
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
VIS
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LOS
2 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
ESP
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |