CAF Champions League Round 6

ES Tunis vs USM Alger analysis

ES Tunis USM Alger
74 ELO 76
1.1% Tilt -11.5%
1360º General ELO ranking 1278º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.1%
ES Tunis
25.8%
Draw
22.1%
USM Alger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
ES Tunis
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.1%
Win probability
USM Alger
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ES Tunis
+51%
-6%
USM Alger

ELO progression

ES Tunis
USM Alger
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ES Tunis
ES Tunis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2003
CAN
Canon Yaoundé
1 - 1
ES Tunis
ESP
35%
27%
39%
73 62 11 0
28 Sep. 2003
ESP
ES Tunis
0 - 0
Club Africain
CLU
55%
24%
21%
73 73 0 0
24 Sep. 2003
CSS
CS Sfaxien
1 - 0
ES Tunis
ESP
52%
25%
23%
73 73 0 0
20 Sep. 2003
ESP
ES Tunis
1 - 0
AS Aviação
ASA
87%
10%
3%
74 43 31 -1
14 Sep. 2003
ESP
ES Tunis
1 - 0
CS Hammam-Lif
CSH
56%
23%
21%
73 72 1 +1

Matches

USM Alger
USM Alger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2003
USM
USM Alger
2 - 0
AS Aviação
ASA
89%
9%
3%
76 43 33 0
21 Sep. 2003
CAN
Canon Yaoundé
0 - 2
USM Alger
USM
35%
28%
38%
76 63 13 0
15 Sep. 2003
ORA
MC Oran
1 - 1
USM Alger
USM
45%
28%
27%
76 75 1 0
10 Sep. 2003
KOU
RC Kouba
0 - 3
USM Alger
USM
34%
30%
36%
76 68 8 0
05 Sep. 2003
USM
USM Alger
3 - 0
Canon Yaoundé
CAN
76%
15%
9%
76 64 12 0