CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-0
ES Tunis vs Diaraf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 0
CAB
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 0
ESP
10%
18%
73%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
5 - 0
ASP
91%
7%
2%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ETO
5 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
CSH
0 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Diaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DJO
1 - 1
DIA
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DIA
3 - 0
DJO
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GPA
0 - 1
DIA
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DIA
1 - 1
GPA
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
DIA
27%
24%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |