Espanyol vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 2
ESP
36%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
EIB
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RMA
1 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
LEV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
ESP
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
3 - 3
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAD
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
0 - 3
VIL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
VCF
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
GLA
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |