Espanyol vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
BUR
1 - 0
ESP
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
1 - 1
ESP
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 0
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
UDL
3 - 0
ESP
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
7 - 1
RCF
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
BET
1 - 0
VAD
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
1 - 1
ESP
29%
22%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VAD
2 - 1
TER
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
OSA
0 - 0
VAD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |