Espanyol vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
OVI
3 - 1
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 0
ELC
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
CCF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 2
RMA
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
3 - 0
SPO
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1964 |
LIE
3 - 1
VCF
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
VCF
3 - 1
SEV
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
VCF
1 - 1
LIE
82%
12%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
VCF
2 - 0
LEV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |