LaLiga Round 11

Espanyol vs Real Jaén analysis

Espanyol Real Jaén
82 ELO 66
-3% Tilt -10.9%
81º General ELO ranking 5000º
17º Country ELO ranking 171º
ELO win probability
73.9%
Espanyol
15.5%
Draw
10.6%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
Espanyol
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.6%
Win probability
Real Jaén
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
+5%
+1%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

Espanyol
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 1956
ATM
Atlético
8 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
75%
14%
11%
82 84 2 0
04 Nov. 1956
ESP
Espanyol
4 - 0
Real Valladolid
VAD
56%
21%
23%
82 81 1 0
28 Oct. 1956
OSA
Osasuna
5 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
48%
23%
29%
83 73 10 -1
21 Oct. 1956
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
44%
23%
34%
82 86 4 +1
14 Oct. 1956
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 0
UD Las Palmas
UDL
67%
18%
15%
82 74 8 0

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 1956
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 0
Condal CD
CDC
65%
19%
16%
65 67 2 0
04 Nov. 1956
CEL
Celta
4 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
72%
16%
12%
66 76 10 -1
28 Oct. 1956
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
66 70 4 0
21 Oct. 1956
RMA
Real Madrid
7 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
89%
8%
4%
67 89 22 -1
14 Oct. 1956
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
31%
23%
46%
66 85 19 +1