Espanyol vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 0
ESP
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEV
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GET
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 3
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RAY
4 - 2
RAC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 5
RAY
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 0
GET
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |