Espanyol vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 1
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ESP
1 - 0
SEV
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
5 - 0
ESP
86%
9%
5%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
30%
27%
42%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 1
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
BAD
1 - 1
CDO
57%
21%
22%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 2
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
OSA
3 - 0
CDO
76%
15%
10%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CDO
2 - 0
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |