LaLiga Round 11

Espanyol vs Málaga analysis

Espanyol Málaga
84 ELO 86
0.8% Tilt -9.9%
95º General ELO ranking 652º
18º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
40.8%
Espanyol
25.4%
Draw
33.8%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
Espanyol
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
Málaga
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Espanyol
+7%
-1%
Málaga

ELO progression

Espanyol
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2013
LEV
Levante
3 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
48%
26%
27%
84 84 0 0
19 Oct. 2013
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
23%
26%
51%
84 92 8 0
05 Oct. 2013
ELC
Elche
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
40%
27%
34%
84 78 6 0
29 Sep. 2013
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 2
Getafe
GET
49%
25%
26%
84 85 1 0
26 Sep. 2013
VIL
Villarreal
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
53%
24%
23%
84 85 1 0

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2013
MAL
Málaga
0 - 5
Celta
CEL
63%
21%
15%
86 81 5 0
19 Oct. 2013
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 0
Málaga
MAL
89%
8%
3%
86 96 10 0
04 Oct. 2013
MAL
Málaga
0 - 1
Osasuna
OSA
59%
23%
18%
87 84 3 -1
27 Sep. 2013
VAD
Real Valladolid
2 - 2
Málaga
MAL
34%
26%
41%
87 82 5 0
24 Sep. 2013
MAL
Málaga
2 - 0
Almería
ALM
59%
22%
20%
86 81 5 +1