Espanyol vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 3
ESP
24%
29%
48%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 0
PON
72%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
0 - 0
ESP
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 0
MIR
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 0
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 0
RAY
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
CDT
1 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
2 - 3
LUG
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LUG
3 - 0
GIR
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
LUG
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |