Espanyol vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
RSO
2 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
UDL
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
ATM
2 - 0
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 0
SLA
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
HER
2 - 1
ESP
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1975 |
HER
1 - 0
ELC
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
HER
2 - 3
BET
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
CEL
0 - 1
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
HER
2 - 1
ESP
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |