Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Espanyol vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CCF
2 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1966 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 0
ESP
88%
8%
4%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
CEL
2 - 0
RSO
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
EUR
2 - 0
CEL
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
CEL
2 - 1
SPO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CDC
1 - 1
CEL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
CEL
1 - 0
UPL
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |