Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 0
CCF
65%
22%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
GET
2 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 2
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EIB
0 - 1
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
2 - 3
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAY
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
27%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
ATH
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |