Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LEV
3 - 2
ESP
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
ZAR
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MLL
2 - 1
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ESP
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SAB
0 - 1
ESP
17%
26%
57%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 0
VAD
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
HJK
3 - 3
ATH
27%
25%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ATH
6 - 0
HJK
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 5
BET
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |