Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 1
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
0 - 0
MUR
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MLL
2 - 2
ESP
44%
26%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 0
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GET
2 - 0
ATH
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
0 - 0
BET
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VAD
1 - 2
ATH
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |