Espanyol vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
MUR
5 - 3
ESP
35%
22%
43%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
ESP
4 - 0
ZAR
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 1
DEP
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
DEP
2 - 4
ATH
24%
21%
56%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
SEV
90%
6%
3%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
22%
21%
58%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |