Español de Alquián vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CDR
1 - 0
ALQ
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 4
ANT
54%
22%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 0
ALQ
49%
21%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ALH
4 - 3
ALQ
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALQ
1 - 1
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 0
VEL
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
LOJ
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
PAL
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 2
UDS
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 2
LOJ
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |