UEFA EC U21 Grupo B. Jor. 3

Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis

Spain U21 Ukraine U21
86 ELO 68
9.3% Tilt 11.8%
135º General ELO ranking 1182º
14º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
82.8%
Spain U21
12%
Draw
5.3%
Ukraine U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
Spain U21
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.3%
Win probability
Ukraine U21
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spain U21
-1%
+32%
Ukraine U21

ELO progression

Spain U21
Ukraine U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spain U21
Spain U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 0
Croatia U21
HRV
79%
14%
8%
86 69 17 0
21 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 3
Spain U21
ESP
8%
16%
77%
86 64 22 0
13 Jun. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
1 - 1
Mexico U23s
MEX
85%
10%
5%
86 73 13 0
28 Mar. 2023
FRA
France U21
0 - 0
Spain U21
ESP
25%
23%
52%
86 81 5 0
24 Mar. 2023
ESP
Spain U21
3 - 2
Switzerland U21
CHE
79%
14%
7%
86 68 18 0

Matches

Ukraine U21
Ukraine U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jun. 2023
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 1
Ukraine U21
UKR
36%
26%
38%
66 63 3 0
21 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Croatia U21
HRV
32%
24%
44%
65 70 5 +1
16 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 2
Ireland U21
IRL
58%
23%
19%
65 60 5 0
13 Jun. 2023
UKR
Ukraine U21
2 - 0
Kuwait Sub 21
KUW
84%
11%
5%
65 8 57 0
27 Mar. 2023
ITA
Italy U21
3 - 1
Ukraine U21
UKR
64%
21%
16%
66 77 11 -1
X