UEFA EC U21 . Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Spain U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POL
2 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
NLD
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ISL
0 - 0
ESP
41%
23%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POL
2 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1983 |
POL
2 - 0
PRT
63%
19%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
POL
2 - 1
SUN
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 18 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1982 |
POL
4 - 0
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
PRT
1 - 0
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |