España U20 vs Alemania U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
MEX
1 - 1
ESP
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 2
EGY
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 2
NED
60%
19%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ESP
0 - 0
POL
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
GER
1 - 2
EGY
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
GER
1 - 0
MEX
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |