ESOFV La Roche vs La Chataigneraie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
12º
12º
40
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LAT
3 - 1
ESO
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ESO
2 - 1
ANG
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
USS
0 - 0
ESO
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 1
SAB
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LAV
1 - 1
ESO
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
La Chataigneraie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
1 - 2
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
LAT
0 - 1
ASC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAN
47%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASC
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ASC
0 - 2
NAN
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |