NB II Western Round 13

ESMTK vs Pécsi MFC analysis

ESMTK Pécsi MFC
38 ELO 64
3.7% Tilt 6.5%
4740º General ELO ranking 4138º
41º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
19.4%
ESMTK
24.5%
Draw
56.1%
Pécsi MFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
ESMTK
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.1%
Win probability
Pécsi MFC
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ESMTK
-7%
-14%
Pécsi MFC

ELO progression

ESMTK
Pécsi MFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ESMTK
ESMTK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
PAP
Lombard Pápa TFC
3 - 0
ESMTK
ESM
74%
17%
9%
37 60 23 0
21 Oct. 2007
ESM
ESMTK
0 - 5
FC Felcsút
FEL
19%
23%
58%
37 60 23 0
12 Oct. 2007
SZO
Szombathelyi Haladas
5 - 1
ESMTK
ESM
77%
15%
8%
37 59 22 0
07 Oct. 2007
ESM
ESMTK
1 - 2
Bárcsi SC
BSC
24%
24%
52%
38 51 13 -1
29 Sep. 2007
FCA
FC Ajka
3 - 4
ESMTK
ESM
64%
20%
15%
37 45 8 +1

Matches

Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2007
PEC
Pécsi MFC
3 - 2
Kaposvölgye VSC
KAP
66%
21%
13%
65 47 18 0
20 Oct. 2007
PEC
Pécsi MFC
0 - 0
Lombard Pápa TFC
PAP
50%
26%
24%
65 60 5 0
14 Oct. 2007
FEL
FC Felcsút
1 - 0
Pécsi MFC
PEC
38%
26%
36%
65 59 6 0
06 Oct. 2007
PEC
Pécsi MFC
2 - 1
Szombathelyi Haladas
SZO
54%
26%
21%
65 59 6 0
30 Sep. 2007
BSC
Bárcsi SC
2 - 2
Pécsi MFC
PEC
19%
26%
55%
65 51 14 0