ESMTK vs Dabas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
ESM
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ESM
1 - 0
CEG
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BBM
0 - 0
ESM
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
ESM
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ESM
0 - 1
KOZ
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dabas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DAB
3 - 3
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HON
1 - 4
DAB
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
DAB
0 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DAB
1 - 2
SZO
18%
24%
58%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
DAB
1 - 1
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |