Esmoriz vs Uniao Lamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esmoriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 2
ESM
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ESM
2 - 1
AVA
13%
19%
69%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
ESM
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ESM
1 - 2
RDA
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ESM
76%
17%
8%
|
12 | 69 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Lamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
RDA
3 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BAI
0 - 1
UNI
9%
17%
75%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
OVA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GRI
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |