Esmoriz vs Soutense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esmoriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
ESM
79%
14%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ESM
0 - 3
MIL
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
ESM
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
CAN
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RDA
0 - 0
ESM
83%
11%
5%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Soutense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
MIL
31%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
SOU
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 1
SPA
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FIA
3 - 3
SOU
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALB
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +1 |