ESCOM United vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESCOM United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
MOY
0 - 1
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 3
BLA
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 0
BVR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BLU
1 - 1
ESC
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
AZT
4 - 0
KAM
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
MOY
1 - 0
KAM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
KFC
0 - 0
KAM
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
KAM
1 - 1
CIV
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
SIL
4 - 1
KAM
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |