Scotland U17s vs Northern Ireland U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SCT
6 - 0
MLT
87%
11%
3%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 0
SCT
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
DNK
3 - 1
SCT
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 5
PRT
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GEO
1 - 6
SCT
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NIR
1 - 1
CZE
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
2 - 2
NIR
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
NIR
2 - 3
SCT
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
LUX
0 - 7
NIR
26%
21%
53%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |