Scotland U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WLS
3 - 0
SCT
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SCT
2 - 3
SWE
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 2
ISL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCT
1 - 1
NIR
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
NIR
1 - 3
SCT
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 0
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NLD
3 - 0
NOR
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
CZE
0 - 4
NOR
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |