Eschenbach vs Gambarogno - Contone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
14º
15º
39
5º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 2
ESC
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 5
BRU
33%
24%
44%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZUG
7 - 0
ESC
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
1 - 4
SCE
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
ESC
6%
12%
83%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Gambarogno - Contone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 2
HER
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRU
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
FCC
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |