Eschenbach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eschenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
GOL
3 - 0
ESC
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 1
LUZ
60%
20%
19%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ESC
1 - 0
GUN
53%
23%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 1
ESC
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUO
1 - 2
ESC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 0
EMM
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 0
ASC
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
ASC
44%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 4
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |