Esbjerg vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
4º
28
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
SKI
2 - 1
ESB
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ESB
5 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ESB
4 - 2
B93
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAM
0 - 3
ESB
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ESB
2 - 1
KOL
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 1
THI
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
THI
3 - 0
FRE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
THI
1 - 3
FCK
6%
15%
80%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AAF
5 - 0
THI
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
THI
0 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |