Esbjerg vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
NSI
0 - 4
ESB
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
ESB
3 - 1
NSI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ESB
6 - 3
BKF
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
ESB
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ESB
0 - 2
FCK
45%
25%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
AUX
28%
30%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 2
NIC
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MPL
2 - 2
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 2
MON
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |