Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BIF
0 - 2
ESB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ESB
1 - 2
AAB
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
ESB
4 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
FCN
1 - 0
ESB
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
ESB
6 - 2
OBK
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AGF
2 - 1
FCN
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VES
0 - 2
AGF
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 2
MID
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
MID
3 - 2
AGF
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
AGF
3 - 0
AAB
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |