Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
RAN
2 - 1
ESB
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
OBK
3 - 0
ESB
55%
23%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LYN
1 - 2
ESB
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESB
1 - 0
FCN
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BIF
2 - 2
ESB
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
AGF
3 - 3
SIF
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
AAB
0 - 3
AGF
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
33%
26%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
AGF
0 - 2
FCN
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 0
AGF
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |