Esbjerg vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
FCK
6 - 0
ESB
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
SIF
0 - 0
ESB
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ESB
5 - 0
LYN
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
MID
1 - 1
ESB
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ESB
0 - 2
VEJ
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
VFF
0 - 0
AGF
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AGF
1 - 3
OBK
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
AGF
7 - 0
LYN
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2001 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |