Campeonato de Clubes Árabes Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
ES Setif vs US Monastir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Setif
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2009 |
SET
2 - 0
BEL
54%
27%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
SET
3 - 0
BBA
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2009 |
USM
1 - 0
SET
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
SET
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
SET
48%
28%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Monastir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GAB
0 - 3
USM
30%
25%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
EGS
0 - 0
USM
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
SET
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
STA
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OLY
0 - 1
USM
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |