ES Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
4º
2º
58
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ASM
0 - 1
ESM
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ESM
2 - 0
MCS
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
ESM
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ESM
2 - 0
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KOU
0 - 1
ESM
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
JSM Tiaret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
1 - 0
TIA
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TIA
1 - 0
ASM
65%
21%
13%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MCS
2 - 2
TIA
26%
29%
46%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
2 - 0
OLY
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
RCR
0 - 1
TIA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |