ES Jerba vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Jerba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MEN
1 - 2
ESJ
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ESJ
1 - 1
STA
8%
28%
64%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
0 - 0
ESJ
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESJ
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
ESJ
1 - 3
SFA
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 0
ESH
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ASR
0 - 1
ASD
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
OLY
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ASD
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |