Erzgebirge Aue II vs Markranstädt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEU
3 - 2
ERZ
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ERZ
2 - 0
GER
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BDR
0 - 0
ERZ
41%
26%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ERZ
3 - 0
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ZWI
2 - 1
ERZ
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Markranstädt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 3
MAR
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
5 - 2
MEU
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +4 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GER
2 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
POS
1 - 1
MAR
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAG
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | +2 |