Erzgebirge Aue II vs Budissa Bautzen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
ERZ
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
WAC
1 - 0
ERZ
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
5 - 2
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
2 - 4
VFL
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BGL
1 - 5
ERZ
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Budissa Bautzen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
DYN
0 - 1
BUD
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
4 - 1
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BUD
5 - 2
ERZ
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 1
BUD
81%
14%
5%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WAG
0 - 1
BUD
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |