Erpeldange vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RES
1 - 3
ERP
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ERP
1 - 2
FCA
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 1
ERP
29%
23%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ERP
4 - 0
KEH
80%
13%
8%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ERP
1 - 6
RUM
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 3
ALI
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 4
LOR
48%
22%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MLI
4 - 1
LOR
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
JEU
3 - 3
LOR
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 3
ATE
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |