Ermis Aradippou vs Olympiada Lympion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
4º
3º
8
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
19 | 23 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 21 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 20 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 12 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 11 |
8º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAE
2 - 1
ERM
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ERM
2 - 0
ALK
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 0
ERM
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ERM
0 - 1
MEA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
ERM
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olympiada Lympion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 1
AYI
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PAE
3 - 4
OLY
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 3
OMM
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
DYP
3 - 0
OLY
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 2
ACH
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |