Erlenbach vs Grossbardorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 1
ERL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 2
BAY
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AHA
3 - 1
ERL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ERL
3 - 2
MEM
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 2
ERL
48%
22%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grossbardorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 2
WUR
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FRO
3 - 0
GRO
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 1
WEI
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +4 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 0
GRO
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 3
JFO
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |