SpVgg Erkenschwick vs Stadtlohn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 2
ERK
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 0
RBE
54%
23%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
2 - 1
PAD
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIP
1 - 3
ERK
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ERK
4 - 0
ERH
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stadtlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
SPO
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
ZWE
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
21%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
RBE
3 - 1
STA
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
STA
4 - 1
ASC
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |